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[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Aa Bu

    • keoghh
      Joined: 01.07.2011 Posts: 857
      Villain: 12/4 3bet 4.8, 53 hands

      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $15.43 (154.3 bb)
      MP: $10.22 (102.2 bb)
      CO: $5.10 (51 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $10.89 (108.9 bb)
      SB: $6 (60 bb)
      BB: $10.11 (101.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, SB raises to $0.50, BB folds, Hero raises to $1.30, SB calls $0.80

      Flop: ($2.70) 9 8 Q (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.40, SB raises to $2.80

      Is this just a super standard fold?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      Preflop: Looks fine to me, you can make it bigger even.

      Flop: This is a standard all-in. Look at the stack to pot ratio. The pot has 2.70, and we have 4.70 in remaining stack sizes.

      SPR = 4.7/2.7 = 1.74

      With such a low stack to pot ratio, there's no way I'm ever folding AA here. He can have AQ/KQ/KK/JJ/flush draws and we are just crushing this range super hard.
      Board: Qs8s9c
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 36.80% 36.36% 0.44% { KK-JJ, 99-88, AQs, KQs, KsJs, AQo }
      MP3 63.20% 62.76% 0.44% { AhAs }

      Maybe some assumptions are slightly off, but here you can see that with 63% equity we are crushing his range pretty hard.