[NL2-NL10] NL10 KQ TP vs fish

    • tommygecko
      Joined: 11.08.2012 Posts: 1,229
      Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $7.66 (76.6 bb)
      Hero (MP): $16.64 (166.4 bb)
      CO: $1.65 (16.5 bb)
      BTN: $4 (40 bb)
      SB: $12.84 (128.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with K Q
      Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, SB calls $0.35, BB calls $0.30

      Flop: ($1.20) 9 9 K (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, SB calls $0.60, BB calls $0.60

      Turn: ($3.00) 2 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2.25, SB folds, BB calls $2.25

      River: ($7.50) 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      $7.50 pot ($0.37 rake)
      Final Board: 9 9 K 2 5
      BB showed K 7 and lost (-$3.25 net)
      Hero showed K Q and won $7.13 ($3.88 net)

      Do I value bet river here vs fish?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      I think you should be able to infer from the results that if he has K7o here, he can have K8 K9 KT KJ. He may/may not 3bet AK preflop, maybe he has K2s+ and even a hand as weak as K2o. But anyway vs the mentioned range of K7+, we are crushing it really hard. Easy value bet on the River IMO.

      Though we need to know what his preflop range looks like. What's his VPIP PFR? IF he is tight passive (18/3) for example, then river is probably a check. This guy is still a fish though. But if he's 80/20, then this is an easy 3barrel. I would even 3barrel KT for value.