[NL2-NL10] SH AJs vs Fish TURNquestion

    • Ricco88
      Joined: 08.01.2009 Posts: 1,037
      Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (6 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com

      Hero (UTG) ($5)
      MP ($6.34)
      CO ($10.30)
      Button ($26.70)
      SB ($5.87)
      BB ($12.84) 46/31/20wts@19hands

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with J, A
      Hero bets $0.17, 4 folds, BB calls $0.12

      Flop: ($0.36) Q, J, A (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.27, BB calls $0.27

      Turn: ($0.90) 3 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero ?

      My thoughts about this hand are:
      Flop bet bigger, like $0,33 for protection.
      Maybe I should throw a second barrel, because there are lots of weaker hands in his range and I still have a good chance that he will fold, but I would tend to a valuebet more than a protection.
      I think his turnrange is like (Ax, K2s+, K8o+, TT, Q9+, JT+)
      as well as hands where I'm way behind like: (AQ, KT, AdTd,8d7d+)

      Overall I got 73.95% against this range, against his range where I'm way behind I got 19.07%. So this should be a easy b/fold. But what about the sizing am I right that a 2/3 valuebet is pritty much tha best way or do you see here any good reason to place a bigger bet?

  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Ricco,

      Preflop: looks fine

      POstflop: The board is really connected so we should bet larger like 33-36c (on the flop) versus a fishy guy.

      On the turn I think we can still bet/fold about 60c or so. There are still plenty of worse hands including AdX hands.