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[NL20-NL50] SH20 - JJ on Qxx vs maniac

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102

      $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by

      UTG ($32.32) 162bb
      UTG+1 ($47.40) 237bb
      CO ($31.30) 157bb
      hero (BTN) ($27.59) 138bb
      SB ($20) 100bb
      BB ($23.16) 116bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.30, 6 players) hero is BTN J J
      3 folds, hero raises to $0.60, 1 fold, BB calls $0.40

      Flop: 9 3 Q ($1.30, 2 players)
      BB checks, hero bets $0.80, BB raises to $2.77, hero calls $1.97

      I thought such a aggressive player could c/r with a very wide range and that my JJ should be still good.

      Turn: 5 ($6.84, 2 players)
      BB bets $5.40, hero folds

      Looking at his size the river could be a ship and since i don't know how aggressive he really is on such dry board i folded.

      Final Pot: $6.84
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Chocular,

      Villain looks aggro on all streets (over the limited sample). This tells me that we should NOT expect him to slow down. He's also only won one of his 8 showdowns which implies he may be either bluffing a lot or calling down super light. Given the high aggression factor I'd assume he bluffs a lot.

      So our plan should actually come on the flop. Do we call him down or not. If not, we fold the flop not the turn.

      Without seeing some showdowns from him I'm still tempted to fold but I think that calling down is a good option, especially if you remember any of the showdowns and you've seen him run bluffs/semibluffs. OR valuebet worse like 9x.