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[NL2-NL10] NL4 SH, QQ X/R on the flop

    • dienaszaglis
      dienaszaglis
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999
      $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Holdem
      PartyPoker
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($4.04) 101bb
      UTG+1 ($3.94) 99bb
      CO ($10.09) 252bb
      HERO (BTN) ($4.18) 105bb
      SB ($4.09) 102bb
      BB ($8.14) 204bb 21/16, X/R flop: 20%, AF: 4.8, SD: 15, 212h, *raises CB HU on 35Jtt w/ air

      Pre-Flop: ($0.06, 6 players) HERO is BTN Q:spade: Q:heart:
      3 folds, HERO raises to $0.12, 1 fold, BB calls $0.08

      Flop: 6:spade: 5:heart: 2:spade: ($0.26, 2 players)
      BB checks, HERO bets $0.20, BB raises to $0.64, HERO?

      PRE
      Standard.

      FLOP
      Sample size is not that big, but still suggests that he`s probably X/R with FD`s. Or he`s even air-balling (hence the note).
      So, what are my options? Call him down or play for stacks on the flop?
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Diena,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: He seems to like to ck/raise the flop so far (I'm assuming it's not a huge sample on the ck/raise) so I would 3-bet and look to get it in.

      These guys that raise flop often either do it with a lot of semibluffs/value (like 77-JJ) or value and bluffs and in both cases it's win/win for us.
    • dienaszaglis
      dienaszaglis
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.06.2008 Posts: 999
      Hi!


      Actually, the right flop X/R % is 25 (8)

      What if this % is 10? 15?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by dienaszaglis
      Hi!


      Actually, the right flop X/R % is 25 (8)

      What if this % is 10? 15?
      25 of 8 means that he only raised 2, and this is one of them. So we shouldn't rely on that.

      Of course, if we saw a showdown last time he did it then it would be better.

      So with that in mind I still think we have a strong enough hand that we can continue here either with a raise or call.

      If villain was really tight, lets say 10% or less ck/raise on the flop over a big sample then his range is stronger but on such a board they can still have overpairs and some strong draws so I would at least consider calling.