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[NL20-NL50] Overpair facing leads

    • maheepsangari
      Joined: 08.06.2010 Posts: 2,163
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $21.96 (109.8 bb)
      MP: $41.37 (206.8 bb)
      CO: $19 (95 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $20 (100 bb)
      SB: $21.67 (108.4 bb)
      BB: $25.74 (128.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K K
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, SB calls $0.50, BB calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.80) 3 2 9 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $1.60, Hero calls $1.60, SB folds

      Turn: ($5) 4 (2 players)
      BB bets $3.05, Hero calls $3.05

      River: ($11.10) T (2 players)
      BB bets $20.49 and is all-in, Hero folds
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      Any reads on your opponent? If not we should think about game theory optimal ranges

      On the river, we have to call 14.80 more in a pot containing 11.10.
      Pot odds offered = 36.4%

      Opponent is risking 14.8 to win 11.1. His bluff needs to work 57.1%. We need to call with the top 42.9% of our range.

      I think KK probably falls into this category so I'll call here if I wanted to play GTO.

      From an exploitive stand point, I think he just has way too many sets here IMO so we can consider folding. Maybe even A5s is in his range. But without any info it's perfectly fine to play GTO and call down. For all we know he's some random spazzer.