[NL20-NL50] AKo TPTK

    • b0gd4n3l
      Joined: 02.07.2011 Posts: 211
      $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG ($34.22) 137bb
      UTG+1 ($7.97) 32bb
      CO ($15.42) 62bb
      b0gd4n3l (BTN) ($25) 100bb
      SB ($8.97) 36bb
      BB ($23.40) 94bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 6 players) b0gd4n3l is BTN A:heart: K:spade:
      2 folds, CO calls $0.25, b0gd4n3l raises to $1, 2 folds, CO calls $0.75

      Flop: 3:spade: 8:club: K:club: ($2.35, 2 players)
      CO checks, b0gd4n3l bets $1.70, CO calls $1.70

      Turn: J:spade: ($5.75, 2 players)
      CO checks, b0gd4n3l bets $4.90, CO goes all-in $12.72, b0gd4n3l calls $7.82

      River: 9:spade: ($31.19, 2 players, 1 all-in)

      Final Pot: $31.19 b0gd4n3l shows a pair of Kings A:heart: K:spade:
      CO shows two pair, Kings and Jacks J:club: K:heart:
      CO wins $29.79 (net +$14.37)
      b0gd4n3l lost $15.42

      Villain it's a pretty aggressive fish. Against his range is my call profitable? I think he might also do this with a pair and flush draw , or not?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      Turn is tricky. If he did a min-check-raise I would snap fold here cos he has a set or two pair almost always.

      Given that he's short and he check/pushed, I would reconsider folding. IMO if he had 40bb or less this is a snapcall given the pot odds. 60bb onwards, it gets way tougher and it is probably closer to a fold. Let's analyze this spot deeper though.

      Pot odds = 7.82/31 = 25%

      We need at least 25% equity on the turn to justify a call here.

      What's good for us: Board has a ton of draws, including many straight draws and flush draws. He has less than 100bb

      What's bad for us: Turn raises are usually strong, he isn't that shallow with 62bb initial stack.

      I suggest you try using pokerstove to give him a reasonable turn check/pushing range to find out yourself whether you have the bare minimum of 25% equity. I think it's a close spot but I think I may be leaning slightly towards a call based on this exact board texture and the fact that you are getting 25% pot odds.
    • ilidek
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,926
      you're considering call because of board texture it means that we have two flush draw and pretty conect board but no too connected. if turn is blank e.g. 7d you more into fold? anyway folding here is not a mistake? we make nearly pot size bet so he usually won't bluff us too often on the T of course if his af% is normal like 30-35
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Yeah if turn is more of a blank card it gets closer to a fold.

      When the turn brings so many new draws I think villain's range could potentially contain many semi-bluffs especially when he jams the Turn with not too much money left behind.

      I won't be surprised to see some AcQc, QcTc, Tc9c, AsQs, QsTs type of hands in his range. Or maybe 8s9s. The presence of all these hands in his range probably gives us enough equity to call it off here.