[NL2-NL10] nl2 FR QA vs flushdraw

    • farbwenz
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 359
      PokerStars - €0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 106 BB
      SB: 95.5 BB
      BB: 110.5 BB
      UTG: 104.5 BB
      Hero (UTG+1): 182.5 BB
      UTG+2: 41.5 BB
      MP: 77.5 BB
      MP+1: 148 BB
      CO: 96.5 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:heart: A:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, UTG+2 calls 4 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 4 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 3 BB

      Flop: (16.5 BB, 4 players) Q:spade: 4:spade: Q:club:
      BB checks, Hero bets 10 BB, UTG+2 calls 10 BB, CO calls 10 BB, fold

      Turn: (46.5 BB, 3 players) T:spade:
      Hero bets 22 BB, UTG+2 calls 22 BB, CO raises to 82.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 60.5 BB, UTG+2 calls 5.5 BB and is all-in

      River: (239 BB, 3 players) 4:diamond:

      two questions about the hand:
      1. what do you think of it, should I bet again on turn?

      2. As played, can I profitably call here? My calculation would be:

      Opponent has 22% chance to hit flush (given he has got 2 suited cards). I need to call 1.21€ in order to win 4.87€, so I need 24.8% equity. If opponent sometimes includes Qx hands or bluffs, my call would be justified. Is this calculation correct?
  • 1 reply
    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      You need about 30-35% equity to call.

      Against Qx you have them crushed.

      Against completed flush draws you have 10 outs.

      Utg2 probably has a weak hand and makes the pot odds better for you.

      With all this I think it's a call.