[NL20-NL50] 2. barell?

    • JohnyC1337
      JohnyC1337
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2011 Posts: 5,976
      HI I´d like to ask how should villain react with TT in this hand if my cbet stats are 60/60/48? call/fold? And what should he do on ther river which is blank and on the river which is J/Q/A

      btw. my Co open range is something about 25%

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is CO with 7 :club: A :club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 1 fold, SB calls $1.25, 1 fold

      Flop: ($3.50) 6 :diamond: K :diamond: 4 :spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.25, SB calls $2.25

      Turn: ($8.00) 4 :diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5.70, SB calls $5.70

      River: ($19.40) A :heart: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks
  • 5 replies
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      If I was villain I would call turn since you don't rep anything and check fold river
    • JohnyC1337
      JohnyC1337
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2011 Posts: 5,976
      ehm I would valuebet all flushes, FH´s and KJ+ OTT = cca 7% and if I cbet flop in 60% cases and turn the same then I have about 9% in turn cbetting range. So 7% value and 2% bluffs so why is call OTT with TT good? Or Am I calculating wrong?
    • JohnyC1337
      JohnyC1337
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2011 Posts: 5,976
      bump
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,696
      Hi.

      Firstly u are only referring to your overall flop cbet. U are going to cbet bluff this KXX flop more often and give up on middle coordinating flops more often.

      I think villain can make an argument for checkcalling TT with a diamond (blocker to the flush plus some added equity vs your non diamond hands). With TTo it gets closer i think folding is fine especially when u may still continue firing on some rivers and i dont think he can checkcall 3 streets.

      I dont think ur calculations are close to being right, as mentioned previously u are using overall stats to explain a specific spot which is not right.

      I dont think he has any options here he should just check fold mostly vs your third barrels regardless of river cards.
    • JohnyC1337
      JohnyC1337
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.05.2011 Posts: 5,976
      thx a lot!