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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 AA against river donk from reg

    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (UTG): $25.35 (101.4 bb)
      SB: $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $25 (100 bb)
      BTN: $36.84 (147.4 bb)
      CO: $27.97 (111.9 bb)
      MP: $38.83 (155.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with A A
      Hero raises to $0.75, MP folds, CO calls $0.75, BTN folds, SB calls $0.65, BB folds

      Flop: ($2.50) 6 9 2 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.75, CO folds, SB calls $1.75

      Turn: ($6) 9 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.50, SB calls $3.50

      River: ($13) T (2 players)
      SB bets $9, Hero folds

      $13 pot ($0.65 rake)
      Final Board: 6 9 2 9 T
      Hero mucked A A and lost (-$6 net)
      SB mucked and won $12.35 ($6.35 net)

      What do you think about my river fold?
      Do you think it's the typical "I don't want you to chekcback against my TT full"?
      He should have raised me with 9x (A9s? ) on the turn and with sets on the flop.
      I think fold is the best option there... OK he has a high river donk stat but he's not so aggro postflop overall.
      I don't expect him to play lower overpairs in his range like this so I can't see any worse hands to call against.
      I also block one FD card.
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      Fold is fine, but I would likely call, since I don´t think he would flat too often 87s and if he is 3-betting 9,1% from SB then he might easily 3-bet with TT

      Although you block Ah he may still have all other broadway flushdraws then has no showdown value and on 9629T board he likely does not have too often boats.

      And if he is aggressive on the river, you may expect some bluffs.

      best regards,
    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      Thank you!
      You're right, after rereading the hand and your opinion, I am more inclined to call too...
      My only problem is that his river donkbet stat is a little bit high ==>He can do this with busted draws but still, he has a low river AF... so he may not doing it so often.
      So after theese, do you think that this is a typical 50-50 spot, where folding is as good as calling?:)