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[NL20-NL50] [Sh] Nl25 A9 underrepped full vs river overbet

    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players

      Hero (SB): $26.60 (106.4 bb)
      MP: $10.15 (40.6 bb)
      BTN: $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $25 (100 bb)
      CO: $36.98 (147.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 9 A
      2 folds, BTN raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.50, BB folds, BTN calls $1.75

      Flop: ($5.25) A 6 A (2 players)
      Hero bets $3, BTN calls $3

      Turn: ($11.25) 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($11.25) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $13, Hero folds

      $11.25 pot ($0.56 rake)
      Final Board: A 6 A 9 Q
      Hero mucked 9 A and lost (-$5.50 net)
      BTN mucked and won $10.69 ($5.19 net)

      Do you think my river fold is weak?
      Preflop I 3bet him to fold his wide range (high fold to 3b)
      But he didn't so then he either have strong Ax or some higher broadways (maybe slowplayed big pairs).
      On this flop I decided to not going crazy with my hand but I have one cbet there of course... after a call I would usually potkontroll I think.
      Not this time when the turn bring me the nuts... also he's the floaty type of guy so I prefer inducing him.
      The plan missed and this river is very questionable. I was going to x/c there but when the overbet arrived I instantly thought it's an AQ and folded.
      Now, when I look back this spot I think it's a call. Yes, it will be AQ many times but he could have done it with AK, or AJ (really rarely with flushes but not with air) because my hand is really under repped.
      Your opinion?
  • 2 replies
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,331
      Hey Csubakoppanny,

      Bluff preflop is fine + I like your idea of exploiting floaters with a turn check.

      River agg% suggests he isn't bluffing that much. But seeing as you are under-repped I think villain can value-bet any Ace. Sometimes a flush, but often he'd bet the turn unless he was passive. AQ is possibility, but so is QQ (which you beat). I would not fold here ever.
    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      Thank's for analyzing the hand!:)