[NL20-NL50] #13 AJ nl20

    • ilidek
      ilidek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,952
      UTG: $25.04 (125.2 bb)
      MP: $30.33 (151.6 bb)
      CO: $30.16 (150.8 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $20.60 (103 bb)
      SB: $35.27 (176.4 bb)
      BB: $23.81 (119 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A:heart: J:club:
      2 folds, CO calls $0.20, Hero raises to $1, SB calls $0.90, BB folds, CO calls $0.80

      Flop: ($3.20) Q:diamond: 9:spade: K:club: (3 players)
      SB checks, CO checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($3.20) A:club: (3 players)
      SB checks, CO checks, Hero checks

      River: ($3.20) 6:club: (3 players)
      SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $1.70, SB folds, CO raises to $5, Hero folds

      I want to value bet some Kx Qx who can call after xb xb, without showdown value I would bet on the Turn. Should I call 50/3 50%af% 36h? I had WTF after his line
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      I would definitely bet the turn for value. As played i think its reasonable for him to both check flop AND turn with a monster as u are expected to bet at the ace really often. On the river though his line doesnt make too much sense unless he expects u to stab the river or he is just a trappy fish.

      With that said, i think your sample on his river aggression is low, and the 50/3 stats point towards him being passive so i do not mind the fold.

      Thanks.
    • ilidek
      ilidek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,952
      That's what I've thought. Anyway he showed me QJ
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Well that makes sense. I think his hand is not strong enough to valuebet

      But when u bet the river i think he is often gonna lose vs ur stronger made hands so he turns it into a bluff. This play makes more sense than leading river since u would never fold AX or KX to a river bet.

      With that said, i dont give most fishes credit for knowing how to make such an advance play.

      If this guy is the same guy in the other hands im probably not folding many of ojr hands vs him now.