[NL20-NL50] 25shz ATo BU

    • AtrociousNightmare
      AtrociousNightmare
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2010 Posts: 1,185
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $98.73 (394.9 bb)
      SB: $28.85 (115.4 bb)
      BB: $39.50 (158 bb)
      UTG: $28.36 (113.4 bb)
      MP: $22.79 (91.2 bb)
      CO: $56.24 (225 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with T A
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.62, SB calls $0.52, BB folds

      Flop: ($1.49) 8 T A (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.26, SB raises to $3.25, Hero raises to $9.90, SB raises to $28.23 and is all-in, Hero calls $18.33

      Turn: ($57.95) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($57.95) 4 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:
      $57.95 pot ($2 rake)
      Final Board: 8 T A 7 4
      Hero mucked T A and lost (-$28.85 net)
      SB showed 8 8 and won $55.95 ($27.10 net)

      VPIP: 26, PFR: 22, 3B: 9, AF: 2,0, Hands: 713
      WTSD: 26 (93)
      W$SD no small pots: 83 (18)

      [btw how can he win so many SDs with those PF stats? god run much?]

      This is what I thought:

      Board: 8:heart: T:heart: A:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    57.10%  40.76%  16.34% { AsTc }
      MP3    42.90%  26.56%  16.34% { TT, 88, ATs, A8s, ATo, A8o }


      Can you help me add flushes (or whatever else) into xyr range?
      'cos I don't see many FDs calling me PF OOP like that, it'd be bad to do so and he looks like a good player.
      Do you think A8 is too loose in xyr range?
      If I remove that I'm at 33.52%
  • 3 replies
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey AtrociousNightmare,

      At these limits usually 2pair is not good enough to stack off on monotone board. That's because the average stack-off range is good 2pairs+. Very often you will be up against a flush/set even directly vs SB check-raise. Folding flop is fine imo.

      Villain is clearly just running good with the W$SD stat.

      As far as adding flushes to villain's range goes.....you can only deduce that by observing him. You may know he has a certain cold-call percentage in blinds, but that doesn't specifically tell you which suited hands he flats.

      He might flat any suited connector above 56s. Just because he looks good, doesn't mean he is.

      Also there is nothing fundamentally incorrect with flatting SC's out of the blinds. It's just that most players then proceed to play fit/fold which will not be +EV.
    • AtrociousNightmare
      AtrociousNightmare
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.04.2010 Posts: 1,185
      Folding flop is fine imo.

      re-raise/fold or just fold to xyr 1st raise?

      Also there is nothing fundamentally incorrect with flatting SC's out of the blinds. It's just that most players then proceed to play fit/fold which will not be +EV.

      This is interesting to thing about.
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Originally posted by AtrociousNightmare
      re-raise/fold or just fold to xyr 1st raise?
      Immediately fold to first raise.

      It may seem like you are giving up a lot with top 2 here, but in reality you are playing very exploitatively by doing this at these stakes.