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[NL20-NL50] 25shz AQo CO

    • AtrociousNightmare
      Joined: 14.04.2010 Posts: 1,185
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $25 (100 bb)
      SB: $38.87 (155.5 bb)
      BB: $75.08 (300.3 bb)
      UTG: $13.78 (55.1 bb)
      MP: $45.18 (180.7 bb)
      Hero (CO): $39.11 (156.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q A
      UTG raises to $0.75, MP folds, Hero calls $0.75, 3 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) T 8 Q (2 players)
      UTG bets $13.03 and is all-in, Hero calls $13.03

      Turn: ($27.91) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($27.91) 7 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $27.91 pot ($1.53 rake)
      Final Board: T 8 Q 2 7
      UTG showed A A and won $26.38 ($12.60 net)
      Hero mucked Q A and lost (-$13.78 net)

      VPIP: 27, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: 0,0, Hands: 22

      If it's even necessary (in the case I'm not just plainly wrong) can you help determine if this could ever be a profitable call?

      Thing is, I never expect him to have a straight.
      They basically always slowplay them.

      When they do these things it's either draws or air or some strange midpairs+gutshot...
      But maybe I can't just assume such things like that.
      Also, twopairs. (?)
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,332
      Hey AtrociousNightmare,

      AQ usually doesn't do so well vs a tight UTG open; you probably won't even have an equity edge. It might be ok with position, but it's not like folding would be ridiculous either. Check PFR from UTG etc, run in equilab, check your equity.

      Flop just screams AA/KK to me (I knew before I looked at spoiler). Either way it's usually a hand that's vulnerable rather than a nutted hand. You are correct this may include stuff like mid-pairs + gutshot, but there are presumably less of these in a UTG opening range. Same with 9J.

      I would just fold flop here unless villain was continually taking this line.