[NL20-NL50] TP otr

    • zumpar
      zumpar
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      villain is 25/20, steal LP 41, cbf:72,cbt:63, AF:1.7, ft3b:74, wtsd:36

      he bets so huge on all streets think he flopped a set here probably, even tho its narrow?
      not really many busted draws either

      some better alternative lines? i think im losing shitloads of money in these spots, caling from BB, either i fold flop or they just tripple barrel me off the hand even if i hit... :rolleyes:


      iPoker - $0.20 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): $20.00
      UTG: $20.61
      MP: $15.75
      CO: $20.20
      BTN: $20.74
      SB: $8.90

      SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.20

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.30) Hero has J:spade: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.50, fold, Hero calls $0.30

      Flop: ($1.10, 2 players) 4:diamond: Q:club: 3:spade:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90

      Turn: ($2.90, 2 players) 5:heart:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.40, Hero calls $2.40

      River: ($7.70, 2 players) 4:club:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $8.00, fold

      BTN wins $7.32
  • 2 replies
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,297
      Hey Zumpar,

      Even vs a 41% steal range, QJo is unlikely to be an equity favourite + you have to deal with being OOP. It's fine to fold/3bet.

      You've got to call at least one street with top-pair vs a wide cbetter.

      Turn, I guess you could fold. Theoretically the 5 isn't going to be a super-great light barreling card for his range or anything, so I'd expect his barreling frequency to go down.

      He might be the type of guy who will just double barrel AJo on a dry board, but I wouldn't assume this at first.

      River looks like an ok fold, especially given bet sizing. What sample size of hands do you have on him, and what are river AF/AFq/cbet etc?
    • zumpar
      zumpar
      Bronze
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      river AF=3, river Afq=46, rivercbet IP=2/2
      but honestly i havent looked at this when i played