[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH T8s in SB

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,059
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($31.93)
      BB ($20.18)
      UTG ($29.73)
      UTG+1 ($18.80)
      CO ($3.10)
      BTN ($19.50)

      Dealt to Hero 8:diamond: T:diamond:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.20, fold, fold, fold, BB checks



      UTG+1


      BB: 13/12 78h

      Is this a call or fold? I did not want to isolate OOP becasue he does not fold on flop to cbets too much and is agro on later strees so he will float me.
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Speed,

      Preflop: I think that not isolating is a mistake.

      He still folds 44% to cbets over this sample which is plenty to at least break even.

      Don't forget that a 1/2 pot cbet only has to work 33% of the time. Even if you bet 2/3 it only has to work ~40% of the time. Plus he has folded to half the turn cbets he faced so we can barrel turns.

      i would make it 4 or 5 x pre.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Gold
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,059
      I checked how he folds IP:


      fcbet IP is 31 (16)


      still this is an isolation? WIth 1/2 cbet thats ok, but if bigger, cbets, we need to take on turn.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
      I checked how he folds IP:


      fcbet IP is 31 (16)


      still this is an isolation? WIth 1/2 cbet thats ok, but if bigger, cbets, we need to take on turn.
      The more he calls on the flop the more he folds on the turn. That implies that his range is really weak and based on his other stats he doesn't seem to be a station (WTSD) so yes, it would still be one in my books.