[NL20-NL50] NL16 44 bluff 4bet

    • Absolutism
      Absolutism
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.08.2008 Posts: 4,372
      Poker Stars, $0.08/$0.16 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $27.15 (169.7 bb)
      SB: $35.54 (222.1 bb)
      BB: $19.61 (122.6 bb)
      Hero (CO): $16.84 (105.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 4 4
      Hero raises to $0.48, BTN raises to $1.76, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4.64, BTN calls $2.88

      Flop: ($9.52) 3 6 A (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $3.04, Hero folds

      Results:
      $9.52 pot ($0.43 rake)
      Final Board: 3 6 A
      BTN mucked and won $9.09 ($4.45 net)
      Hero mucked 4 4 and lost (-$4.64 net)


      Villain is 15/11/10.3 (30% from BU, 3/10) in 158 hands.

      Standard very aggro 3better reg. I know i dont have any blockers, so 4betting light isnt very good, but folding also sucks. Can i 4bet/call here, or maybe 4bet shoving is a good idea?

      How much samplesize should i wait before i start to adjust to light 3bets and fight back? Am i overreacting this vs 3bet situations here? (i mean, 158 hands are not a big samplesize, he can pick up AK twice and a QQ easily).
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Absolutism,

      Preflop: I don't like your 4-bet bluff here and we can't really 4-bet effectively. he is a nit over this sample and just because he 3-bet 3 of 10 times it doesn't mean much. The sample is really small (10 hands).

      I would say that before we start playing back super light (like you do here) you want to have at least a 25 hand sample for a 3-bet scenario but even that is a bit low.

      Try to not look at the % but rather over what sample it is and also combine it with other things like PFR/VPIP.