[NL20-NL50] NL25 AKo 3b pot

    • VasiliZaitsev
      VasiliZaitsev
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.05.2008 Posts: 77
      Hero (CO): $28.06 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 3.2, Hands: 41808
      BTN: $55.48 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 1.0, Hands: 156
      SB: $38.51 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 21, 3B: 11, AF: 2.2, Hands: 1833
      BB: $25.00 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 11, 3B: 4, AF: 1.9, Hands: 5058
      UTG: $17.18 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 23, 3B: 5, AF: 7.7, Hands: 53

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with A :spade: K :club:
      UTG raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $1.85, 3 folds, UTG calls $1.35

      Flop: ($4.05) 8 :spade: 6 :heart: 9 :club: (2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($4.05) 5 :club: (2 players)
      UTG bets $1.33, Hero calls $1.33

      River: ($6.71) K :diamond: (2 players)
      UTG bets $4.00, Hero ?

      no specific reads. what do you think about cking back the flop and calling that small bet on the turn ? raise river ?

      thank you
  • 1 reply
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      how often does he fold to CB in 3betpots? how often does he pull a check raise?

      the more he folds to CB in 3betpots the more im inclined to bet, something more than 66% is an ideal candidate. I know 689 is a wet board but it doesnt hit him so well, his range is more often broadways and pocket pairs like TT JJ QQ.

      how often does he pull check raises? more than 20% im inclined to check back because he could check raise something like KQ KJ AQ which we might have to fold against.

      I think calling the small bet on the turn is fine for 2 reasons, one is that you could still be ahead with AK, he could bet something like AQ KQ. And if you are behind i think we have the odds to call and get more value on the river if we hit.

      When he bets the river, what do you think hes betting? IF he has a K do you think hes calling? possibly or possibly not. What about JJ QQ? possibly folding. What if he happens to have a set 2p or straight? (sometimes he plays 78s 89s) he would probably go all in and we have to fold. perhaps his WTS lends us some idea, if he has a high WTS here like >35% i would consider raising because he could call QQ JJ and worse K there.

      we can see from these situations that there is not much value from raising so ill just call the river.