[NL20-NL50] #6 KQ nl25

    • ilidek
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,926
      UTG: $25 (100 bb)
      Hero (MP): $25.35 (101.4 bb)
      CO: $38.03 (152.1 bb)
      BTN: $26.68 (106.7 bb)
      SB: $16.49 (66 bb)
      BB: $30.95 (123.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with K:diamond: Q:spade:
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.75, CO folds, BTN calls $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB folds

      Flop: ($2.50) J:heart: Q:heart: 6:club: (3 players)
      SB bets $0.75, Hero raises to $2.70, BTN folds, SB calls $1.95

      Turn: ($7.90) 2:spade: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5.90, SB calls $5.90

      River: ($19.70) 6:diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $16 and is all-in, SB folds

      Donk here is fine? guy is 21/17 and he has AF% 17 on the river, his WTS is 26% after 6k hands. I've thought that's more likely that he will call donk on the River than will bet himself. Bet should be bigger I think 5.7 or even 6.7 will be good. What do you think about it?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      What do you mean by donk? Aren't you the one with the initiative?

      His stats look kind of reggish but he is a 66bb player, maybe he is a MSS reg.

      If villain is as tight as I think he is, in the SB vs an MP raise, I don't think you have value shoving. I would check back. I just don't see him having worse QX hands than QJ. But if he is a fish then I prefer shoving. That's probably not the case though.