[NL20-NL50] #10 T9 nl25

    • ilidek
      ilidek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,952
      SB: $10.60 (42.4 bb)
      Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
      UTG: $10.15 (40.6 bb)
      MP: $27.67 (110.7 bb)
      CO: $21.64 (86.6 bb)
      BTN: $75.05 (300.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9:spade: T:heart:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.72, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.47

      Flop: ($1.54) 9:diamond: 4:spade: T:club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $1, Hero calls $1

      Turn: ($3.54) A:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.80, CO calls $2.80

      River: ($9.14) 7:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.90, CO calls $6.90

      guy is 32/20 74%cb ag 1.8 1.4 2.0, af% 39% 30% 24% 37 WTS 48 W$SD 400h
      here is my thought procces:
      he don't like to bluff two / three barels for bluff
      he has high WTS and low W$SD it means he is courius
      those two things change my gameplan to donk donk because I chose how much value I want to have, he call me with every ace. I even thought about overbet river up to 12.7 what do you think about it?


      BTW now I see he folded once vs raise cbet flop, once he 3b and twice he called. Raise cbet seems better vs this guy?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      Preflop: This is way too loose of a call. I may consider calling vs a 2.5BB open but definitely not vs this size which is almost 3BB.

      Flop: I think you should be looking more at the Flop Turn River cbet stat, that will probably give you a better picture of this situation. If you think he is less aggro on later streets you should just raise Flop and barrel off.

      Turn: I don't like leading here after betting the Flop. This is the classic scare card that most players will try to bet at and represent the Ace. Definitely checking here and raising vs a bet.

      Thanks.