[NL20-NL50] #12 TT nl25

    • ilidek
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 2,923
      UTG: $28.93 (115.7 bb)
      MP: $19.40 (77.6 bb)
      Hero (CO): $36.36 (145.4 bb)
      BTN: $27.26 (109 bb)
      SB: $27.35 (109.4 bb)
      BB: $21.47 (85.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with T:club: T:heart:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN folds, SB raises to $2.50, BB folds, Hero raises to $5.40, SB calls $2.90

      Flop: ($11.05) 8:diamond: T:spade: 2:club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $4.90, SB calls $4.90

      Turn: ($20.85) 8:club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $7.90, SB folds

      22/18 3b% vs CO 12, 3bet from SB 13% fold to cbet in 3bet pot 42% fold to 4bet 52% 5b range 3%
      it means he has something like 6,5% range on the flop
      if I miss and there are overs A/K/Q I should xb or fold to donk and call Turn and fold to river bet?
      Maybe better juts call his 3bet and call him twice on any board and fold on the River
      his af 3.3 3.1 1.2 AF% river 22
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      This is the wrong hand. Please repost the right one.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      I already wrote on your other post, but I'll just repeat myself again since the stats are slightly different.

      I think his PF range for calling the 4b is mostly mid suited connectors and suited broadways. His fold to cbet is average, but I think he can very well float the Flop with some low broadways like QJ/J9s/79s and maybe even KQ/AQ/AJ. I think the Turn card improves some 8X hands which he may have some % of the time but it doesn't really matter cos all the money will go into the river anyway vs 8X.

      We want to maximize our value vs his bluffs so we should check back the Turn. It's also good to note that stack sizes are shallow enough for us to ship all the money in on the River so we don't necessarily have to bet the Turn.

      I prefer betting Turn if it's a card which brings way more draws and we can rep way more draw hands.