[NL20-NL50] AKo call against loose 3better

    • Gonchan
      Joined: 14.06.2011 Posts: 2,867
      IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      MP: $61.54 (123.1 bb)
      Hero (CO): $67.07 (134.1 bb)
      BTN: $42.25 (84.5 bb)
      SB: $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      BB: $108.86 (217.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A K
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN folds, SB raises to $5, BB folds, Hero calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.50) J 8 8 (2 players)
      SB bets $6, Hero calls $6

      Turn: ($22.50) 5 (2 players)
      SB bets $12, Hero calls $12

      River: ($46.50) 6 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $44.07 and is all-in, SB folds

      $46.50 pot ($2.32 rake)
      Final Board: J 8 8 5 6
      Hero mucked A K and won $44.18 ($21.18 net)
      SB mucked and lost (-$23 net)

      28/26/1.2k 3b SB 18 CB flop 3bpot 71 turn CB 59 WTSD 21

      I thought he would bet turn even it was not good card for barrel and I didn't think he hit this board often.

      Is this bluff profitable?
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey Gonchan,

      Preflop is clearly ok vs wide 3better.

      With high barrel stats in 3bet pot it's going to be a mistake to give up on the turn too much. The only downside to this play is that the turn card is not a good card for villain, and I'd expect his barreling frequency to go down.

      On the river, given your hand strength, what hands to you hope to fold out that you don't already beat? I think betting with any 2 might be profitable here, but if villain doesn't fold a pair, betting with AK is negative freeroll.