[NL2-NL10] nl10 SH AQs

    • Vanessa777
      Vanessa777
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.10.2012 Posts: 73
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2129415
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $9.99 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 0,9, Hands: 15668
      BTN: $16.04 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 15, 3B: 6, AF: 4,3, Hands: 3686
      SB: $8.80 - VPIP: 41, PFR: 19, 3B: 9, AF: 5,4, Hands: 1698
      Hero (BB): $10.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 2,6, Hands: 35257
      UTG: $10.00 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 22, 3B: 12, AF: 3,8, Hands: 28994
      MP: $13.05 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 17, 3B: 6, AF: 2,4, Hands: 7581

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with Q :spade: A :spade:
      3 folds, BTN raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.20, 1 fold, SB raises to $2.90

      I am not sure about this. It was one impulse when I played this hand. This guy is fishy and have 4brange 2.0 out of 43 so it's really tight and taking his line for it looks like : TT+ AK+ Am I right here with this range ? Do we have any statistic in HM2 do discribe what he had done ?

      On range TT+ AJs+ we have 38% I gues it's not enough since when we push here we are giing ourselfs 33% of equity ; / But fold simse to be soo weak here.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Vanessa,

      Look at equilab to see what % TT+, AK make and you may be surprised. 2% is not much at all.

      On top of that this is a cold 4-bet so those are even more rare than a regular 4-bet so I'd say this is an insta fold for me unless he is short (even though he called initially).

      Also when you push you can discount FE because we almost never have it. That means that we actually would risk 7.6 to win the total pot of about 18.5 or so which means we need ~41% equity to make the shove.