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[NL20-NL50] Nl25 Aq

    • DarkAwi
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 3,289
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $25 (100 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $40.72 (162.9 bb)
      SB: $7.63 (30.5 bb)
      BB: $36.74 (147 bb)
      UTG: $31.75 (127 bb)
      MP: $15.05 (60.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q A
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) A J 8 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $0.80, Hero raises to $2.75, SB folds, BB calls $1.95

      Turn: ($7.75) 3 (2 players)
      BB bets $2.25, Hero raises to $6.25, BB raises to $33.24, Hero folds

      SB is a big fish, 88/23
      BB seems TAG reg: no history, no reads, datamined hands

      I think it's either draw, or 2pair+, so raise/fold flop, turn, chb river? After he donk/3bet on the turn 150 bb deep, I think he will never have draws, if he wanted to put the money in with a draw, he could do that on the flop, where he has the best equity. Opinions?
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      From what I've seen in his stats, he likes donk betting quite a bit and doesn'd do check/raising too much. This means he is quite likely to donkbet with most of his continuing hands, whether TP, draw or 2pair+.

      I think your turn raise is fine although knowing it's often a draw I would raise bigger. 2pair+ would 3bet quite often anyway and draws are a bit more likely combo wise I think from a reg. I think your turn analysis is very sound and the best play is to raise/fold.