[NL20-NL50] Jj.

    • Natrilis
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 378
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $20 (100 bb)
      BTN: $16.48 (82.4 bb)
      SB: $46.54 (232.7 bb)
      BB: $20 (100 bb)
      UTG: $20.26 (101.3 bb)
      Hero (MP): $30.85 (154.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with J J
      UTG raises to $0.70, Hero calls $0.70, 4 folds

      Flop: ($1.70) 8 5 8 (2 players)
      UTG bets $1.20, Hero calls $1.20

      Turn: ($4.10) A (2 players)
      UTG bets $2, Hero calls $2

      River: ($8.10) 2 (2 players)
      UTG bets $2.10, Hero ?

      Villian 45hands 19/16 AF-12 . Can i call here this 1/4pot?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      In my opinion this tight guy has the Ace really often. I don't think calling is good here as he is rarely bluffing with this size.

      We are getting pot odds of 16.7%. I don't think he is ever bluffing with this size more than 10% of the time.

      Our other 2 options are to raise and to fold. I think if he is a weaker player I prefer just jamming my entire stack in, or just raising it up to 10$ to represent 8X or 55. That's a really narrow range though. Vs a better hand reader he should realize that we are turning our hand into a bluff very often vs such a weak river size so we should just fold because we can expect him to hero-call any AX here.