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[NL20-NL50] #6 87s nl25

    • ilidek
      ilidek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 3,097
      CO: $44.29 (177.2 bb)
      BTN: $49.45 (197.8 bb)
      SB: $40.51 (162 bb)
      Hero (BB): $25.10 (100.4 bb)
      UTG: $15.42 (61.7 bb)
      MP: $5.51 (22 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 8:diamond: 7:diamond:
      UTG raises to $0.50, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.25

      Flop: ($2.10) 7:spade: 8:heart: K:spade: (4 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, UTG calls $1.50, 2 folds

      Turn: ($5.10) 5:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.90, UTG calls $3.90

      River: ($12.90) A:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $10.40, UTG calls $9.52 and is all-in

      guy is fish 46/8 first open EP 12% 117h WTS 26% W$D 55% can I play it different?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      I think people are way likelier to bet at this flop. I much prefer a check/raise for immediate value.

      River has to be the worst card in the deck (the ultimate scare card which should scare him into folding or maybe it improves him to a flush). Still if he is loose and a huge calling station I would push anyway as I would still expect him to hero-call with some KQ/KJ combos which should technically outnumber his sets/flushes.

      Problem with that is that this is a 4way pot and you have shown so much strength by firing 3 times with this dynamic. That should make him want to fold so much more. Also, his WTSD isn't that high at 26%. Definitely shoving if it's 30%+.

      I think c/f is actually a reasonable alternative. If the River was a non-Ace spade I think shoving is much better.

      Thanks.