[NL20-NL50] Nl25 Aq

    • DarkAwi
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 3,289
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (UTG): $25 (100 bb)
      MP: $17.01 (68 bb)
      CO: $36.33 (145.3 bb)
      BTN: $25 (100 bb)
      SB: $34.30 (137.2 bb)
      BB: $2.23 (8.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q A
      Hero raises to $0.75, MP folds, CO calls $0.75, 3 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 9 Q 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, CO raises to $3.50, Hero???

      CO: http://pbrd.co/YPG8LB

      He is quite agressive, and reps only a few value hands that beat me, but he could have a lot of draws here. Is there any other option than cbet/3bet/call ?
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,330
      Hey DarkAwi

      With the stats we are given. Cold call of 12% from CO. Raise cbet total of 14%. That equals a total range of about 1.68%

      We can cut the top off his CC range pre-flop because he does have a 3bet% from the CO.

      He may be raising flops a little wide in general, and he may be repping a narrow range, but he actually just has a pretty narrow range in this spot anyway.

      1.68% range looks something like QQ,99,55,AQs,AcJc,KcJc,AcTc,JcTc,8c7c,AQo

      You probably have around 31% equity. You need 25% equity to call. Theoretically you cannot shove, because you are unlikely to have any fold equity and you will just be shoving the money as a dog.

      I think think folding here is probably the best play given the spot is close anyway and on top of that you suffer from reverse implied odds.

      Theoretically if you wanted to continue you'd have to flat OOP and commit only after a safe turn card fell, and fold the rest of the time.