[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - 97s: flush draw vs donkbet

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      52/10
      3 af
      57% fold vs cbet
      50% wwsf
      31 hands



      CO: $78.89 (157.8 bb)
      BTN: $28.65 (57.3 bb)
      SB: $26.06 (52.1 bb)
      Hero (BB): $50.50 (101 bb)
      UTG: $43.64 (87.3 bb)
      MP: $51.82 (103.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9:diamond: 7:diamond:
      4 folds, SB completes, Hero raises to $1.75, SB calls $1.25

      Flop: ($3.50) K:diamond: 2:heart: T:diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

      Turn: ($8.50) 4:spade: (2 players)
      SB bets $5, Hero ....

      Raise flop? Turn?
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      Given stacks and his somewhat higher than average postflop aggression (higher than average for a limp/caller) I would be tempted to raise flop. Sizing would not be too big though, so a raise to about 6.50 should be fine. The idea is that you get folding equity with the raise, uncap your range very often and also get to river quite often when you have initiative IP.

      As played, I think turn is a fold. You don't have that many implied odds, nor do you get close to the right odds against a range that has you beat most often.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      Would be a raise/fold on the flop?
      I called the flop with the idea of raising the turn, but i think i overestimate my fold equity on the turn.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Originally posted by Lunitis
      Would be a raise/fold on the flop?
      I called the flop with the idea of raising the turn, but i think i overestimate my fold equity on the turn.
      Yes, raise fold. If he shoves he will have you crushed and that will usually be his sizing given stacks. On the turn you don't have that much folding equity so I don't think you can bluff that much when he bets. It's fine to call flop if he gives up on the turn quite often and then you can win with a bet, not a raise.