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[NL2-NL10] JT in ugly spot (again)

    • yaxkukmian
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      BU: only 16 hands but seems super loose playing 57/36/ 0 folds to cbet
      BB: 72 hands 42/28/ 90 cbets/ 3b from BB 33,3

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      BB ($11.80)
      UTG ($1.60)
      UTG+1 ($10.45)
      Hero ($11.25)
      BTN ($7.90)

      Dealt to Hero J:heart: T:diamond:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BTN calls $0.30, fold, BB raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.20, BTN calls $0.20

      FLOP ($1.55) 3:diamond: 9:spade: 8:diamond:

      BB bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60, BTN calls $0.60

      TURN ($3.35) 3:diamond: 9:spade: 8:diamond: J:club:

      BB bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10, BTN calls $1.10

      RIVER ($6.65) 3:diamond: 9:spade: 8:diamond: J:club: 6:club:

      BB checks, Hero checks, BTN bets $5.70 (AI), BB folds, Hero calls $5.70

      Hero shows J:heart: T:diamond:
      (Pre 52%, Flop 56.1%, Turn 95.5%)

      BTN shows 2:diamond: 2:club:
      (Pre 48%, Flop 43.9%, Turn 4.5%)

      Hero wins $16.85

      We're in the pot with 2 potential maniacs.

      We flop super great and get great odds to continue. My plan was to fold to T aggression in sense of pot size or 3/4 bet since they usually slowplay good hands.

      T is interesting since we actually have weak hand for showdown.

      R is ugly spot. I know player seems fishy and he's not thinking about fold equity. But I was thinking he has very polarized range of missed FD and one pair kind of hand with T9 or T8 to having really strong hand (straight, many 2 pair combos). I was thinking why wouldn't he go for smaller bet (even bad players want to see a call and bet tricky amounts).

      I was looking for hands I beat: T9, T8, busted FD,
      Hands that beat me: 98 (he might slowplay it), J8, J9, J6, QT and T7 (these two are not that likely though since we have a blocker), 86, 96.
      I don't see better Jx hands in his range although there are many low cards out there. Is hero calling super bad?

      He almost used his time and then showed. My argument for calling was. "why shoving now?"
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Yax,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Your flop and turn look fine although we can even consider raising turn for thin value.

      As played the river call is correct imo. I agree with you that he hardly ever pot shoves there given how the hand got played. The only draw that got there was T7 and maybe 66.

      So your call is correct. Most good raise flop or turn from BTN.