[NL20-NL50] NL50 zoom QQ

  • 4 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,908
      Heya,

      What's the question? If MP2 so tight you want to fold? You only have 54 hands. I think this is definitely a value shove. His 4bet is huge and means he will most often be commited with whatever hand he has. Sometimes he folds but that's just an even bigger mistake to make in general.
    • joefraizer1
      joefraizer1
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.11.2011 Posts: 403
      well, but at the moment i played, his 4b was 0%
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,908
      Originally posted by joefraizer1
      well, but at the moment i played, his 4b was 0%
      50 hands, sir! That's not enough to tell about someone's tendencies in such dynamic spots. :)
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      I was practicing EV calculation, so in case somebody is interested I post:

      --assume MP3 always folds--


      ev = p (he calls) * EV1 + p (he folds) * EV2

      0 = p(he folds) * 15+1.5+6.5+0.5 + 1-p (he calls) * ev2

      when he calls with QQ+, AK:


      EV2 = p (I win) * (112.6-(56.3-6.5)+ 1.5+0.5) + p(I loose)*(-(56.3-6.5)) =

      =0.4 * (112 -49.8+2) - 0.6 * 49.8 = 0.4 * 64.2 - 29.88 =

      25.68 -29.88 = -4.2$


      put in the first equation:

      p - P of his fold

      0= p * 23.5 + (1-p) * (-4.2)

      0 = 23.5p -4.2 + 4.2p

      4.2 = 27.7p

      p = 4.2/27.7 = 0.15 we need 15% fold equity

      Actually we need to include rake, so probably bit more fold equity required.