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[NL20-NL50] NL50 6max, KK on QQTs

    • Anger86
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2133464
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $54.25 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 13, 3B: 13, AF: 3.7, Hands: 118
      CO: $15.68 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 14, 3B: 13, AF: 0.5, Hands: 22
      BTN: $61.36 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 25, 3B: 5, AF: 2.3, Hands: 57
      SB: $50.00 - VPIP: 33, PFR: 24, 3B: 2, AF: 4.0, Hands: 120
      Hero (BB): $50.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 4.6, Hands: 162812

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with K :heart: K :diamond:
      UTG raises to $1.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $5.50, UTG calls $4

      Flop: ($11.25) Q :diamond: Q :spade: T :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $6.00, Hero calls $6

      Turn: ($23.25) 2 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $15.50, Hero calls $15.50

      River: ($54.25) 6 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets $27.25, Hero calls $23 all in


      Villain is a nit - 13/13.
      My 3bet range here is KK+ and if I get a read that he calls 3bet w/ AQ, JJ, TT then I'd add QQ and AKs, AKo in my 3bet range, but would fold to 4bet.

      As played, I'd 3bet/5bet KK.
      He calls 3bet, so I put him on range like: AK-AQ, QQ-TT. It's debatable, since it's still possible for him to call with small-mid PP's to set mine or slowplay KK+, maybe also has QQ there.

      I don't cbet, because not many worse hands call here. So I bluffcatch.

      Board: Q:heart: Q:spade: T:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    49.86%  49.68%   0.18% { KK }
      MP3    50.14%  49.96%   0.18% { JJ-TT, AQs+, AQo+ }

      His full range on the flop.
      I think I can call one bet and evaluate on Turn.


      Board: Q:heart: Q:spade: T:spade:  2:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    37.43%  37.43%   0.00% { KK }
      MP3    62.57%  62.57%   0.00% { JJ-TT, AQs, AQo }

      He likely won't bluff twice with AK. Removed those.

      River: It's like If I call Turn, then I also call the River as played.
      My logic was that it's a brivk and equity should be about the same as it was on the turn.

      Board: Q:heart: Q:spade: T:spade:  2:diamond:  6:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    35.29%  35.29%   0.00% { KK }
      MP3    64.71%  64.71%   0.00% { JJ-TT, AQs, AQo }

      I think my flop call was OK, but Turn and River calls were at best
      breakeven. Also fold is breakeven so I can do the same
      play by folding on turn.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909

      Turn is probably a fold. You left 6 combos of JJ there which make no sense to barrel off. That's the deciding factor whether to call or not and JJ is simply not the barreling sort of hand imo. Don't forget a nit can also just call AA here some of the time. I think you will be good on river under 10% of the time, yet you need more than double that.