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[NL2-NL10] NL5 Zoom QQ

    • cheekopeh
      Joined: 27.09.2010 Posts: 461
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $5.99 (119.8 bb)
      SB: $8.89 (177.8 bb)
      BB: $2.91 (58.2 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $5.67 (113.4 bb)
      MP: $6.62 (132.4 bb)
      CO: $6.67 (133.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q Q
      Hero raises to $0.20, 3 folds, SB raises to $0.45, BB folds, Hero calls $0.25

      Flop: ($0.95) 9 T T (2 players)
      SB bets $0.65, Hero calls $0.65

      Turn: ($2.25) 8 (2 players)
      SB bets $1.10, Hero folds

      $2.25 pot ($0.09 rake)
      Final Board: 9 T T 8
      SB mucked and won $2.16 ($1.06 net)
      Hero mucked Q Q and lost (-$1.10 net)

      SB - ( $8.89 USD ) - VPIP: 17, PFR: 10, 3B: 20, AF: 3.0, Hands: 48

      PF: I called his 2.5x 3-bet as I figured he will probably be playing a pretty straightforward range vs my UTG's open. I did not take into account his 3-bet of 20% because there was only 48 hands on him. His range is pretty much AJ+/JJ+.. AJ might be a bit too much.

      Flop: It looks like a scary board but I don't think it changes much here. When he bets, I will only discount AQ & AK from his range except AQhh, AKhh. So I prefer to call here and re-evaluate on e Turn.

      Turn: Looks like e worst card on e deck. If he had JJs which was e only hand I was beating in his assigned range, he has OESD to go w it now. And if he had hearts he made his hand.

      However, I noted he made only a 1/2 pot bet. Looks to me he's a little worried about that board. And could likely mean he had KK/AA actually. OR QQ which would be epic. However, I'm not sure if shoving or raising big here would throw him off an overpair? If he had a K:heart: or A:heart: he's never folding.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Cheekopeh,

      Your analysis looks good.

      I would recommend not turning hands like yours into a bluff here and hope that a somewhat tighter regular (over this sample) can fold a strong hand at these limits.

      I doubt he will be able to find the fold button with KK/AA, especially since half of them have a heart.