[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - A4s: 3bet pot

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,135
      29/25
      67% fold vs 3bet
      68% fold vs 3bet MP
      59% fold vs hero 3bet
      48% fold vs cbet 3bet pot
      21% raise cbet 3bet pot
      50k hands

      One of the players that i face most often at the tables. I lost my notes last month and dont have something specific for this spot now.




      Hero (BTN): $60.26 (120.5 bb)
      SB: $69.48 (139 bb)
      BB: $18.39 (36.8 bb)
      UTG: $16.95 (33.9 bb)
      MP: $64.73 (129.5 bb)
      CO: $52.75 (105.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A:heart: 4:heart:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero raises to $4.75, 2 folds, MP calls $3.25

      Flop: ($10.25) 3:heart: A:club: K:club: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $5, MP raises to $12.50, Hero ?
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,697
      Hi.

      3bet preflop seems fine. On the flop i am definitely not folding. Bet/call once and decide on turn. we have an easy fold on club turns, we are obviously never folding heart turns, and on blanks we have a tougher spot. Coordinating cards are bad cos they complete some broadway gutshot straight draws, blanks are probably good for calling again if villain is capable of barreling.

      Thanks.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,135
      [converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BTN): $60.26 (120.5 bb)
      SB: $69.48 (139 bb)
      BB: $18.39 (36.8 bb)
      UTG: $16.95 (33.9 bb)
      MP: $64.73 (129.5 bb)
      CO: $52.75 (105.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A:heart: 4:heart:
      UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, CO folds, Hero raises to $4.75, 2 folds, MP calls $3.25

      Flop: ($10.25) 3:heart: A:club: K:club: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $5, MP raises to $12.50, Hero calls $7.50

      Turn: ($35.25) 9:spade: (2 players)
      MP bets $21.06, Hero ?

      If i dont fold should i just shove? He wont fold flush draw..
      The thing is...when i call the flop im saying that have at least Ax, would he try to make me fold Ax?!
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,697
      I think it's pretty obvious that he's committed so I think we are mostly in a shove or fold spot.

      What's his opening range here? I think he can have all combos of JcTc Tc9c QcJc QcTc. ALso useful to have his 4bet stat. If he's really aggro here I Think he is not going to have AK that much. I really doubt he has AQ AJ here so I Don't mind just shipping on the Turn.

      If he bet smaller on the TUrn I would probably call and decide river though. IMO he is likelier to be making a committing bet with some draw.
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,135
      25% open raise MP
      5.7% 4bet range (3.3 MP)
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,697
      Ok so that means he almost never has AK/KK/AA here. And I don't think people c/r AQ here when deep especially if there is no crazy dynamics. I would just ship here and hope he has a draw most of the time.

      I also don't think he has A3s/33 very often, given how often he folds to 3bers.