[NL2-NL10] A4s vs reg

    • staselu
      Joined: 02.01.2008 Posts: 532
      IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      SB: $3.82 (38.2 bb)
      BB: $8.68 (86.8 bb)
      UTG: $19.86 (198.6 bb)
      Hero (MP): $11.11 (111.1 bb)
      CO: $10.14 (101.4 bb)
      BTN: $9.48 (94.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A 4
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.75) K 3 A (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.56, CO calls $0.56

      Turn: ($1.87) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.93, Hero calls $0.93

      River: ($3.73) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.10, Hero calls $2.10

      vpip /pfr 17/11
      cold call 12%
      agfactor 1.0
      wts 17
      hands 90


      his cold call stat is 12 % so I put him on this range {77+,A9s+,KTs+,QTs+,JTs,ATo+,KJo+}


      fold to cbet flop is 1 out of 2 samples

      his agfactor is 1.0 so I assume he is on the passive side, I assume he calls the cbet with

      turn: I assume he bets turn after my check with {AQs-A9s,KdQd,KdJd,QdJd,KdTd,QdTd,JdTd,AQo-ATo}

      Board: K:club: 3:diamond: A:diamond:  Q:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    79.09%  70.98%   8.11% { AQs-A9s, KdQd, KdJd, QdJd, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, AQo-ATo }
      MP3    20.91%  12.80%   8.11% { Ah4h }

      vs that range I am killed + I am out of position and that means I have to fold turn

      I made the mistake of calling the turn, but on the river I have 2 pair and vs his range I am ahead, so I call

      Board: K:club: 3:diamond: A:diamond:  Q:spade:  4:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    40.00%  40.00%   0.00% { AQs-A9s, KdQd, KdJd, QdJd, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, AQo-ATo }
      MP3    60.00%  60.00%   0.00% { Ah4h }
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Staselu,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Since you barely have hands on him I would not use the cold call stat % by position. He's just played 90/6 orbits (15) so that's not a sample.

      As played I think that on that board we don't get floated light and Kx checks back so versus a tighter reg like him we just ck/fold the flop.

      A nitty guy will not bet the river with hands like AJ/AT especially on the flush. So despite getting 2p we don't really beat anything BUT a bluff. So it's still a fold imo.