[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH AKo

    • Atalol
      Atalol
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.05.2011 Posts: 881
      BB: $58.84 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 15, 3B: 5, AF: 2,4, Hands: 707
      Hero (UTG): $50.00 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 6, AF: 3,3, Hands: 61317
      MP: $50.00 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 4, 3B: 5, AF: 2,5, Hands: 232
      CO: $74.91 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 3,4, Hands: 1821
      BTN: $56.56 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 13, 3B: 5, AF: 2,2, Hands: 3295
      SB: $22.34 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 15, 3B: 3, AF: 1,7, Hands: 128

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with A :heart: K :spade:
      Hero raises to $2, MP calls $2, 2 folds, SB calls $1.75, 1 fold

      Flop: ($6.50) K :heart: 2 :diamond: T :diamond: (3 players)
      SB bets $6.50, Hero raises to $17, MP folds, SB raises to $20.34, Hero calls $3.34

      Turn: ($47.18) 9 :diamond: (2 players)

      River: ($47.18) 9 :spade: (2 players)

      Okey so donking pot into 2 players wheather you are fish or reg is kinda screaming VALUE! So my question is: have I estimated his value range good:
      pl.pokerstrategy.com
      Flop: Td2dKh
      Equity Win Tie
      Hero 46.41% 41.41% 5.00% { AhKs }
      MP3 53.59% 48.59% 5.00% { KK+, TT, 22, AKs, KQs, AdQd, AdJd, QdJd, QhJh, KQo, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AdTh, AdTs, AdTc }

      If I assume that I will stack him on flop then it's correct stackof due to 6,50$ that is already there (if the range is correct) because we need only 43% Equity. What are your thoughts and what stat you look for here to determine range better?

      Thanks
      :spade: Ata
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,297
      Originally posted by Atalol
      If I assume that I will stack him on flop then it's correct stackof due to 6,50$ that is already there (if the range is correct) because we need only 43% Equity.
      This is not correct. This would mean you have enough equity to call an all-in vs villain. In order to shove profitably for value against any villain you need his range that calls to have less than 50% equity against you which it wouldn't given the range you assigned him. (It would only be a small mistake though, and the hand overall would still be +EV, just not max EV.)

      However, I think villains range is probably wider than the one you assigned him anyway. He can have a lot more draws than just monster draws. It's useful to check opponents donk-bet stat also, some players never donk while others do it all the time.

      Overall I think the hand is played fine.