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[NL20-NL50] AQo TPGK in 3bet pot. River overbet

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Silver
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Ongame Network $30.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2137279
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $25.76 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 18, 3B: 10, AF: 4.3, Hands: 488
      BB: $36.43 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 20, 3B: 13, AF: 3.0, Hands: 132
      UTG: $28.65 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 21, 3B: 7, AF: 4.6, Hands: 1369
      CO: $28.80 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 22, 3B: 5, AF: 8.3, Hands: 474
      Hero (BTN): $27.20 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 2.8, Hands: 50880

      Pre Flop: ($0.45) Hero is BTN with Q :heart: A :diamond:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 1 fold, BB raises to $2.55, Hero calls $1.80

      Flop: ($5.25) J :club: A :club: 4 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($5.25) 4 :heart: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50

      River: ($8.25) 3 :spade: (2 players)
      BB bets $32.38, Hero?

      I decided to ch/b on the flop. I don`t think i can go for 3 streets of value?

      I think just calling the small bet on the turn is ok.

      On the river? He reps only JJ,AA,maybe 33, so i guess i have to call?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      Preflop: Villain seems a little aggro and given starting positions, 4bet/call AQ here is acceptable especially if he has a low fold to 4bet and you are known to have a wide 4bet bluffing range.

      Flop: I would betg when checked to. He rarely has AK/AJ here, and I think he only has one combo of AA. Just keep firing and hope that he hero-calls down with AT/AXs/KK here. I think checking back is way too weak.

      As played on the River I would probably call. It looks like such a BS line, and I think he only reps 4X or AA here which he doesn't have too many combos of. But I think you should have just bet the Flop yourself and 3barrel for value. I don't think it's close at all, EV of 3barreling >>> EV of checking Flop.

      Thanks.
    • ilidek
      ilidek
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 3,093
      how you react after x/r flop from 3beter?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I would never fold still. AQ TP2K in a 3b pot vs a villain with a wide 3b range = close to the nuts. I will treat it as such.

      I would probably bet/call the Flop and call down on a blank runout. If the flush hits I may consider folding since people don't often check/raise the flop with air.