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[NL20-NL50] $1 QJ nl25

    • ilidek
      Joined: 06.07.2010 Posts: 3,095
      MP: $25.20 (100.8 bb)
      CO: $13.65 (54.6 bb)
      BTN: $25.84 (103.4 bb)
      SB: $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $30.54 (122.2 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $42.99 (172 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with J:heart: Q:heart:
      Hero raises to $0.75, MP calls $0.75, CO calls $0.75, 2 folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($3.10) 3:spade: T:heart: J:diamond: (4 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2.20, MP calls $2.20, CO calls $2.20, BB calls $2.20

      Turn: ($11.90) Q:diamond: (4 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $6.80, MP calls $6.80, 2 folds

      River: ($25.50) 7:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP bets $15.45 and is all-in, Hero folds

      I am not sure fold was proper. Guy is 14/11 fold to cbet 52/48/80
      af% 37/25/20 bet vs missed IP 41% WTS 25% W$SD 56% WWF43% 10k hands. He doesn't seem like bluff happy player and I doubt he was bluffing he 3bet vs MP 3% so we can remove QQ+,AK.

      this is how I see his range:

      Stół: 3:spade: T:heart: J:diamond:  Q:diamond:  7:diamond:
             Equity  Wygrana  Podział
      MP2    42.87%   28.60%   14.27% { QhJh }
      MP3    57.13%   42.86%   14.27% { 33, QsJs, QcJc, JdTd, JsTs, JcTc }

      notes: flat 3b BBvsBU call xb bet w/ AQ 9Q5KK
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Ilidek,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: That's a pretty interesting scenario, for 3 people to call our cbet on this board.

      The turn completes 89 but KQ/AQ type hands pick up a pair. So I think we still have a bet, especially with so many guys in the pot.

      This type of nit, especially over a larger sample will never have a worse hand on that river when he ships it. At best we are hoping for a split but he can have plenty of slowplayed sets and straights.

      So well played, good fold.