[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH Zoom 88

    • adasko99
      adasko99
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.02.2011 Posts: 1,996
      • 13.03.2013, 00:10
      • This post has been edited 1 time(s), it was last edited by adasko99: 13.03.2013 00:17.
      BTN:

      (hands:62 ) VPIP:27 , PFR:20 , WTSDWSF:18
      3Bet IP:11.1 , 3Bet OOP:15.8 , Fold to 3B IP:0 , Fold to 3B OOP:- , SQZ:20
      Flop Agg:45 , FlopCB:67 , FlopCB 3BetPot:100
      Turn Agg:60 , TurnCB:100 , TurnCB 3BetPot:100
      River Agg:67 , RiverCB:100 , RiverCB 3BetPot:100

      I didn't want to fold preflop to someone who's Total 3Bet is 14.3(28) , 3Bet IP is 11.1 and BTN 3Bet is 33.3(3) - am I right or wrong here?

      If let's say there would have been no :club: and no 9/T/J/Q/K/A on the River, and he would have shipped aswell - could I call in a 3bet Pot against this particular player?

      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $24.99 (100 bb)
      SB: $25.90 (103.6 bb)
      BB: $49.84 (199.4 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $40.63 (162.5 bb)
      MP: $25 (100 bb)
      CO: $48.06 (192.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8 8
      Hero raises to $0.87, 2 folds, BTN raises to $2.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.43

      Flop: ($4.95) 4 T 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

      Turn: ($11.95) 6 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $7.30, Hero calls $7.30

      River: ($26.55) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $11.89, Hero folds

      Results:
      $26.55 pot ($1.19 rake)
      Final Board: 4 T 4 6 Q
      BTN mucked and won $25.36 ($12.26 net)
      Hero mucked 8 8 and lost (-$13.10 net)
  • 4 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,908
      Hey,

      Yes you could, actually on the bad cards as well (J+) against such a player BUT, it has to be a relevant sample. Your thinking is correct but your sample size is almost irrelevant. Have 6.2k hands with those stats and you don't fold this postflop on this runout. In 62 hands he can just run really hot, that's a problem with looking too much into stats on such a small sample.
    • adasko99
      adasko99
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.02.2011 Posts: 1,996
      Right, I see, Thank You.
      Is very hard to aqquire 6.2k hands on someone at NL25 Zoom, because there is so many players and tables are random :f_frown:
      Would 100 hands be enough? :f_biggrin: no seriously, let's say 300? heh
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,908
      I'd say >500 is already quite good to begin with. The more experience you gain, the less you count on stats being a relevant sample and can find patterns just from a few hands played together so you will need less hands to get the info but for now, >500 hands to be able to have any relevance for river aggression stats and such.
    • adasko99
      adasko99
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.02.2011 Posts: 1,996
      thanks