This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] Qq 030813

    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      9 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($7.95) 80bb
      UTG+1 ($21.98) 220bb
      MP1 ($9.80) 98bb
      MP2 ($14.83) 148bb
      MP3 ($11.71) 117bb
      CO ($4) 40bb
      Hero (BTN) ($10.87) 109bb
      SB ($10.05) 101bb
      BB ($10) 100bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 9 players) Hero is BTN Q:heart: Q:diamond:
      4 folds, MP3 raises to $0.40, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds
      3bet?

      Flop: 5:diamond: 3:diamond: 6:diamond: ($0.95, 2 players)
      MP3 bets $0.68, Hero calls $0.68

      Turn: K:heart: ($2.31, 2 players)
      MP3 bets $1.30, Hero calls $1.30

      River: Q:spade: ($4.91, 2 players)
      MP3 bets $2.30, Hero goes all-in $8.49
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi,

      Preflop: I think it's fine to flat here. I don't think he's opening particularly wide so without dynamic I don't think 3b/5b is going to be more profitable than flat calling and playing IP without the initiative.

      Flop/Turn: calling twice seems really standard

      River: Question here is whether we have value in shoving on the River

      -We have Qd: Reduces the likelihood of him having a flush
      -He opens from early position: fewer speculative suited hands in his range
      -High WTSD of 32%: Maybe he's kind of a calling station

      Taking everything into account, I still think that shoving here is probably way too optimistic.

      1) Range 1

      Board: 5d3d6dKhQs
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 55.00% 55.00% 0.00% { KK, 66-55, 33, AdKd, AdJd, KdJd, AdTd, KdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Td9d }
      MP3 45.00% 45.00% 0.00% { QdQh }

      2) Range 2

      Board: 5d3d6dKhQs
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 45.83% 45.83% 0.00% { KK, 66-55, 33, AdAh, AdAs, AdAc, AdKd, AdJd, KdJd, AdTd, KdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Td9d, KdQh, KdQs, KdQc }
      MP3 54.17% 54.17% 0.00% { QdQh }

      I think I may be being a little optimistic with these two ranges but that seems reasonable when villain seems to be kind of a station. Anyway I don't think there is that much value in a shove. The decision seems close.

      Vs a more solid guy who will tend to give credit for monsters here, I would just flat here, but vs this particular opponent it is probably a reasonable play.

      Thanks.
    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      Preflop: I think it's fine to flat here. I don't think he's opening particularly wide so without dynamic I don't think 3b/5b is going to be more profitable than flat calling and playing IP without the initiative.

      can i 3b/f against his 4b range?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Nope i dont like it. Its nt as though he is opening super wide and we know for sure he hardly ever 4bets worse.