[NL2-NL10] Kk 030813

    • nipbourne
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      9 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      Hero (UTG) ($10.36) 104bb
      UTG+1 ($10) 100bb
      MP1 ($24.85) 249bb
      MP2 ($10.04) 100bb
      MP3 ($10) 100bb
      CO ($2.35) 24bb
      BTN ($9.13) 91bb
      SB ($9.70) 97bb
      BB ($7.61) 76bb

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 9 players) Hero is UTG K:club: K:spade:
      Hero raises to $0.40, 7 folds, BB calls $0.30

      Flop: 4:heart: 8:heart: 9:club: ($0.85, 2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.65, BB calls $0.65

      Turn: J:diamond: ($2.15, 2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.64, BB calls $1.64

      River: J:spade: ($5.43, 2 players)
      BB bets $2.90, Hero folds
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694

      While the River jack is a pretty bad card for us, since it improves QJ/JT/QT, I still think we cannot fold.

      When we look at his River AF, it's 5.0 compared to his way lower aggression on earlier streets,. I'm pretty sure he would play some AT/TcKc/hearts which missed on the River in this manner some of the time.

      Also we are getting about 26% pot odds to call here. I am not folding cos I think we win here at least 40-50% of the time. I think the decision to call is not even close at all, compared to folding.