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[NL2-NL10] NL10-KK vs 50bb shove on drawy flop

    • urmo1
      urmo1
      Black
      Joined: 02.03.2008 Posts: 718
      Hello
      MP1-29/11/78h/Raise cbet 33(6) / chck raise 14(7)
      This is bet/fold? If he raises non allin then fold better?
      Or vs that size stack - opponent pushing range is wide enough and call 99+

      Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $3.25 (32.5 bb)
      BB: $4 (40 bb)
      MP1: $6.24 (62.4 bb)
      MP2: $4 (40 bb)
      MP3: $7.85 (78.5 bb)
      Hero (CO): $10 (100 bb)
      BTN: $3.85 (38.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with K K
      MP2 posts BB OOP, MP1 calls $0.10, MP2 checks, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, 3 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 folds

      Flop: ($1.45) 5 4 8 (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $1.10, MP1 raises to $5.64, Hero calls $4.54

      Turn: ($12.73) 4 (2 players)
      River: ($12.73) 3 (2 players)
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      This is a pretty sick board to get raised on.

      Pot odds: 4.54/12.73 = 35.6%

      I think given his stack size and the fact that he seems like some slightly aggro/bad fish, I don't think we can ever fold here, despite the coordination of the board.

      Board: 5c4h8c
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 54.55% 54.05% 0.50% { 88-77, 55-44, 86s+, 76s, AcQc, QcJc, AcTc, QcTc, JcTc, Ac9c, Tc9c, Ac7c, Ac6c, Ac4c, Ac3c, Ac2c }
      MP3 45.45% 44.94% 0.50% { KsKc }

      As you can see here we probably have at least 40% equity here, which is well above the required 35.6% to call it off here.

      Thanks.