[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL 50 77 calldown vs aggro guys

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $34.64 (69.3 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $71.20 (142.4 bb)
      Hero (BB): $50.75 (101.5 bb)
      MP: $50 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 7 7
      3 folds, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1

      Flop: ($3) J 2 5 (2 players)
      SB bets $2, Hero calls $2

      Turn: ($7) 9 (2 players)
      SB bets $4.50, Hero calls $4.50

      River: ($16) A (2 players)
      SB bets $10, Hero calls $10

      Results:
      $36 pot ($1.62 rake)
      Final Board: J 2 5 9 A
      SB showed K A and won $34.38 ($16.38 net)
      Hero mucked 7 7 and lost (-$18 net)



      fd's miss, villain is barreling like crazy and the perfect barreling card comes. Easy call?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Hi.

      What's his Turn and River Cbet? I much prefer using these 2 stats as opposed to Turn/River aggression as they are more accurate for determining how often one barrels as the PFR.

      From a GTO perspective 77 is close to the bottom of our River range so this is an easy fold. From an exploitive perspective if you think he barrels really often on Flop and Turn and when all draws missed, you could argue for calling down the River as well.

      We are still ahead of busted draws,56s/QT/KT/T8/78/89 type of hands. So I think it's reasonable. But we should take his entire range on each street into account.

      -His PF range is 47% which seems kind of wide
      -Flop cbet is high at 78%
      -Not sure what his Turn cbet is, but if it's 60% that would mean he has all gutshots here as well as some AQ/AK combos.
    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      57% Tcbet / 58% R cbet
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,694
      Ok I think the call is good here. We should be good often enough to bluff catch here even with 3rd pair and I agree that he bluffs the Ace on the River close to 100% of the time.