[NL2-NL10] NL2 overpair vs lead bet

    • donroops
      donroops
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.04.2009 Posts: 49
      Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 7 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP1: $2 (100 bb)
      MP2: $1.06 (53 bb)
      MP3: $1.08 (54 bb)
      CO: $2.90 (145 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $3.99 (199.5 bb)
      SB: $0.93 (46.5 bb)
      BB: $1.85 (92.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9 9
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.06, SB folds, BB calls $0.04

      Flop: ($0.13) 6 5 4 (2 players)
      BB bets $0.14, Hero raises to $0.34, BB calls $0.20

      Turn: ($0.81) 2 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.38, BB calls $0.38

      River: ($1.57) 4 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      Results:
      $1.57 pot ($0.05 rake)
      Final Board: 6 5 4 2 4
      Hero mucked 9 9 and lost (-$0.78 net)
      BB showed 5 5 and won $1.52 ($0.74 net)


      Pre-flop - Standard raise here. Villain is a fish with 51/7 over 43 hands
      Flop - With a lead bet i put villain on some pair or two pair. So i elect to raise for value before any scare cards. Maybe a bigger raise.
      Turn - Think i was still thinking i'm good here most of the time, thinking villain still on a pair most of the time. Didn't put villain on a draw alot with a lead bet. So i value bet again.
      River - with 2 calls and a card which doesn't help. I can't see villain calling me with worse holdings than a pair. So I check.
  • 4 replies
    • CPallo
      CPallo
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.04.2012 Posts: 4,343
      I'd prefer to just call this flop. You have a weak overpair and fish donks pot on you on a board that rarely hits only 1p range. So call flop and re-evaluate turn, but raising here is total speww.
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Don,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: That's a rather large donk on the flop so it polarizes villains range slightly. Are you planning to raise/call or raise/fold?

      I think that going broke on the flop would be a mistake so I would raise fold.

      As played the turn bet is very thin and versus a fish we can get some value from 7x, 6x, 77-88 and a rare backdoor flush. So I don't mind your bet and then check river back.
    • donroops
      donroops
      Bronze
      Joined: 08.04.2009 Posts: 49
      It's a raise/fold on flop.
      I wanted to raise, as it makes my life easier.
      Ok. so say if i called flop, and he bet 2/3 pot on turn, same board, what would I do? Just call again?
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by donroops
      It's a raise/fold on flop.
      I wanted to raise, as it makes my life easier.
      Ok. so say if i called flop, and he bet 2/3 pot on turn, same board, what would I do? Just call again?
      Do you expect a passive fish to bet turn into you for 2/3 pots with a weaker hand? If yes then we call again but I would say that against a fish we can fold the turn as well.