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[NL20-NL50] NL50 6max, KQo 3bet bluff + 3bar bluff, C-game

    • Anger86
      Joined: 17.08.2008 Posts: 511
      Poker Stars $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

      CO: $57.50 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 17, 3B: 8, AF: 0.4, Hands: 117
      Hero (BTN): $83.75 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 20, 3B: 8, AF: 4.6, Hands: 164386
      SB: $50.00 - VPIP: 28, PFR: 19, 3B: 21, AF: 2.7, Hands: 98
      BB: $35.38 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 20, 3B: 4, AF: 1.3, Hands: 69
      UTG: $69.38 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 24, 3B: 16, AF: 7.0, Hands: 79
      MP: $114.29 - VPIP: 38, PFR: 31, 3B: 13, AF: 0.6, Hands: 26

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with Q :spade: K :diamond:
      1 fold, MP raises to $1.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $5, 2 folds, MP calls $3.50

      Flop: ($10.75) 3 :heart: 6 :diamond: A :heart: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $5.50, MP calls $5.50

      Turn: ($21.75) 8 :diamond: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $10.50, MP calls $10.50

      River: ($42.75) J :club: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $62.75, MP calls $62.75

      Preflop: Top of my folding range = 3bet bluff
      His calling range pre: Most often AQ-AK, QQ-66.

      Flop: Probably hands like 77-TT fold out and AK-AQ, JJ-QQ call.
      24 - fold out, 27 - call (AK-9, AQ-9, JJ-6, QQ-3).
      So, I like my cbet.

      Turn: AK might raise me at this point since there are 2 FD's out. JJ-QQ fold out more or less. I barrell because I feel he might not fold out 99-QQ sometimes.
      Maybe If I get already +EV cbet then it's OK to shutdown on turn, since
      his range gets stronger.

      River: Spazz move from me. Trying to fold out AQ or overplayed QQ I guess.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Anger,

      While preflop/flop/turn look fine given your thought process I agree that river is way overplayed.

      First, we represent a super narrow range for value with just AA and maybe AJ, rarely a smaller set. I doubt that anyone would think that we can shove AK like this.

      And the pairs we want to target can fold to a smaller bet (stubborn 99-TT) however I think that with the J hitting the river he has a lot more that can call so we can just give up.