[NL20-NL50] NL25 JTs

    • DarkAwi
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 3,289
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (UTG): $42.22 (168.9 bb)
      MP: $9.65 (38.6 bb)
      CO: $25 (100 bb)
      BTN: $25.32 (101.3 bb)
      SB: $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $20.98 (83.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with T J
      Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BTN calls $0.75, SB folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.35) 5 5 J (3 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.34, BTN calls $1.34, BB folds

      Turn: ($5.03) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50

      River: ($12.03) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $7.50, Hero calls $7.50

      BTN: http://pbrd.co/16sSAbT
      BB is a fish (51/16)

      Inducing bluffs can be good in this spot? No value in betting the turn, but it seems he is kinda agressive, and likes floating.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      BTN is pretty tight here so I don't see him having too many 5X combos. His fold to Flop cbet looks pretty standard, maybe it could be considered high for someone playing so tight preflop since his range should be stronger than the average regular.

      When he calls the Flop and bets the Turn, I think we are beat here almost always. I don't expect him to bet TT or 99 or J9s here, so we are behind a range of QJs/KJ/AJ/A5s. We could argue for a check/fold here, unless we expect him to call flop with worse than JX (like TT) and turn it into a bluff on the Turn.

      Should we bet the Turn then? Definitely not. We just end up isolating ourselves vs QJ-AJ.

      As played, I think c/c River is fine. We will lose to QJ quite a bit but he may overplay AJ sometimes.