[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - AA vs raise flop

    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      27/20
      3.2 af
      18% fold vs cbet flop
      64% wwsf
      65% agg% river
      269 hands

      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $41.52 (83 bb)
      BTN: $51.50 (103 bb)
      SB: $50 (100 bb)
      BB: $41.28 (82.6 bb)
      Hero (MP): $51.25 (102.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A A
      Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3.25) J 3 8 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB raises to $4, Hero calls $2

      Turn: ($11.25) 5 (2 players)
      BB bets $7.50, Hero calls $7.50

      River: ($26.25) 7 (2 players)
      BB bets $28.28 and is all-in, Hero ?
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      Hey,

      If you think he can be bluffing/semibluffing turn (I think he should be) I prefer shoving there. Yes, you have position but against his stack you kind of miss value if you don't and let him realise equity which you don't want. What's not good is that you have both nutflushdraws blocked with your pair. His river aggression is very high and it might still be a call. What are your thoughts on shoving turn?
    • Lunitis
      Lunitis
      Gold
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,132
      I dont think we get called by much worst, he cant call with T9 and flush draws he shouldnt neither because its expensive when i shove and he cant have the nut flush draw, so i think i will just get called by sets and combo draws, thats not that great. Without notes i dont expect him to AJ here eith me in MP. So i think its better to let him with all those KQ, AQ, JTs, 98s and make a decision on the river.
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,897
      If you don't expect him to have Jx either then I think river is usually a fold. On a blank I favour calling but here T9, 78s (mostly of spades that plays like this) and BD FD got there. He is still vbetting his sets ofc so then you have a hard timr bluffcatching imo for these odds.