[NL20-NL50] NL30 99 turned set

    • AchillesBG
      AchillesBG
      Gold
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,562
      On Game, $0.15/$0.30 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $39.17 (130.6 bb)
      SB: $64.59 (215.3 bb)
      BB: $10.72 (35.7 bb)
      MP: $30.88 (102.9 bb)
      Hero (CO): $28.80 (96 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 9:diamond: 9:club:
      MP raises to $0.90, Hero calls $0.90, 3 folds

      Flop: ($2.25) 2:spade: 4:diamond: 5:club: (2 players)
      MP bets $1.65, Hero calls $1.65

      Turn: ($5.55) 9:heart: (2 players)
      MP bets $4.05, Hero calls $4.05

      River: ($13.65) 9:spade: (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero bets $10, MP calls $10

      Fast poker, i have no HUD or notes. I know that he is an agressive regular.

      Do you raise the turn? I expect him to barrel some good Ax hands, so i decided to just call and let him hit smth. on the river or bluff? I`m not sure if he will fold overpairs on the turn.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Achilles,

      I doubt villain will fold his overpair on the turn but then again he almost always loses about the same money with them on the river. So we should look to maximize value versus hands that don't pay us off regardless and those are his semibluffs.

      Thus I think calling is the better option here and I would just ship that river there and look more as a polarized range (we rarely ever have 9x)