[NL20-NL50] 88 flopped set

    • zumpar
      Joined: 05.02.2012 Posts: 1,185
      if villain 3bets this flop, im kind of "cry-jamming" here right? i mean, he can overplay an overpair, but thats pretty much all i beat... he has better sets, QT and some moster draws here like 90% of the time here right?

      calling flop is just stupid and folding seems stupid as well with a flopped sets, so jam is anyways the only play here i guess?

      iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): $124.44
      UTG: $20.00 (VPIP: 27.55, PFR: 22.68, 3Bet Preflop: 23.68, Hands: 99)
      MP: $19.09 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 4)
      CO: $62.01 (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 2)
      BTN: $52.50 (VPIP: 22.81, PFR: 14.04, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 57)
      SB: $64.52 (VPIP: 22.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 51)

      SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 8:heart: 8:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.00

      Flop: ($3.00, 2 players) 8:club: 9:spade: J:club:
      SB bets $2.25, Hero raises to $7.50, SB raises to $19.12, Hero raises to $122.94 and is all-in, SB calls $43.90

      Turn: ($129.04, 2 players) 4:heart:

      River: ($129.04, 2 players) J:heart:

      Hero shows 8:heart: 8:spade: (Full House, Eights full of Jacks) (Pre 51%, Flop 35%, Turn 23%)
      SB shows Q:diamond: T:diamond: (Straight, Queen High) (Pre 49%, Flop 65%, Turn 77%)
      Hero wins $126.04
  • 2 replies
    • Csubakoppanny
      Joined: 14.12.2010 Posts: 4,265
      Because we don't have any reads on villain, I think we can say that the worst will be a coinflip here, against a "standard reg". Soooo I think it's an easy broke... folding is weak and calling would be the worst idea imo.:)
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Zumpar,

      We are BvB in a aggressive dynamic game so I don't think we can fold our hand.

      Shipping is the only play that makes sense imo. 2p+, TP+draw and other combo draws can stack off here and villain may be even 3-bet/folding although I wouldn't count on that too much.