[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH AQo preflop spot

    • NightShadePMC
      Joined: 16.11.2010 Posts: 798
      IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $22.74 (113.7 bb)
      CO: $24.91 (124.6 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $20.81 (104 bb)
      SB: $51.81 (259.1 bb)
      BB: $20.93 (104.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A Q
      MP raises to $0.80, CO calls $0.80, Hero raises to $2.60, 3 folds, CO raises to $5.60, Hero raises to $20.81, CO calls $15.21

      Flop: ($42.72) 5 A T (2 players)
      Turn: ($42.72) Q (2 players)
      River: ($42.72) 6 (2 players)

      villain is 15/13 (Cold Caller), knows I can be squeezing light, he 4bet me previous hand and I folded.
      When he 4bets me here, I am pretty much putting him on a pair like JJ-TT. Given the fact that he knows I can be light here, can we give him AJs, KQs that 4bet bluffs with blockers?
      I think he rarely has AK/QQ since Open Raiser is a weak 22/14 player and he may 3bet those.

      Knowing this, should I still shove it in his face here?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi NightShade,

      Preflop: This is a math spot.

      We need to look at how often we need him to fold for our shove to be profitable. I would say that he can still have some slowplays especially if your image is aggressive. And at 15/13 I wouldn't imagine he has a huge calling range to begin with.

      So I would say that our shove here, with AQo, is a bit light.