[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH - 33: pair flop 3bet pot

    • Lunitis
      Joined: 22.02.2009 Posts: 20,136
      74% fold bb vs steal
      17% resteal vs bu
      6% 3bet vs hero
      80% cbet flop 3bet pot
      48% cbet turn 3bp
      2/5 c/f turn 3bet pot
      8.5k hands

      SB: $69.68 (139.4 bb)
      BB: $75.91 (151.8 bb)
      MP: $61.53 (123.1 bb)
      CO: $20 (40 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $80.82 (161.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 3:diamond: 3:heart:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB folds, BB raises to $4.50, Hero calls $3.25

      Flop: ($9.25) 6:heart: 6:club: T:spade: (2 players)
      BB bets $4.38, Hero ?

      I called for set value because we were deep... so its wrong to call once in this dry flop?
  • 2 replies
    • MatejM47
      Joined: 21.01.2010 Posts: 1,193
      Against a 17% 3bet on such a large sample im not folding pretty much anything on this flop. Raising is not the best option since you don't rep all that much, but even so its still better then folding. He will rarely have a pair on this flop and i'd assume he will just fold his air a decent % of the time and not 3b bluff you and floating oop sucks for him as well so even if he suspects your bluffing he probably won't do anything about it.

      Calling is my default line here. I would also expect him to at least double barrel this flop so if you call the flop you have to call the turn as well. You do have a tough river spot if he bets but i'd likely fold at that point.

      One problem with this line is that you can get counter fitted some of the time but thats not a disaster either but you are forced to turn your hand into a bluff, but given we're so deep i think if you jam the river on him you can get him to even fold an overpair since he would expect you to checkback your 77-JJ and for him to call he has to put you on a double float or 22-55.
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Lunitis,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I would agree with Matej here. Given his potential wide range we have at least 1-2 streets worth of calls. Raising would be pointless.

      It's also important to note our image (cally or not) when we are looking at calling down a 3rd barrel. But I would start with a flop call and go from there.